Monday, October 9, 2017

Notes on Balance of Payment (BOP)

CHAPTER 18
BALANCE OF PAYMENTS (BOP)

WHAT IS BALANCE OF PAYMENT?
The BOP of a country is a systematic record of all economic transactions between the residents of one country and residents of foreign countries during a given period of time. Economic transactions are referred to as payments and receipts of imports and exports respectively.
Balance of Payment of any country at a given may assume any one the THREE positions:
1.      Balanced BOP – Export = Import
2.      Positive / Favourable / Surplus BOP – Export > Import / Import < Export
3.      Negative / Unfavourable / Deficit BOP – Export < Import / Import > Export

The economic transaction in the balance of payments is recorded either on credit side or on the debit as shown in the table below:

Credit

Debit
1. Exports of Goods
2. Exports of Services
3. Unilateral Transfer Receipts (gifts, indemnities from foreigners)
4. Capital Receipts (borrowings, capital repayments by or sale of assets to foreigners)
1. Import of Goods
2. Imports of Services
3. Unilateral Transfer Payments (gifts, indemnities to foreigners)
4. Capital Payments (lending, capital repayments to or purchase of assets from foreigners)

COMPONENTS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT
1.      Current Account Transaction
It refers to all current transactions that deal with exports and imports of goods (visible items) and services (invisible items) like shipping, insurance, banking, interest, government expenses, gifts and grants etc.

2.      Capital Account Transaction
It includes both short term as well as long term capital transfers such as international borrowings and lending, gold transactions and foreign exchange.

3.      Overall Balance of payment
It is the total of country’s current account and capital account. In accounting sense, it is always balanced (equilibrium). Hence, in actuality, balance of payments may be normally in deficit or surplus.
Balance of Payment = Current Account + Capital Account

4.      Balance of Trade
It shows the balance of imports and exports of visible items (goods) OR it shows the income from exports of goods and expenditure on imports of goods.
  
 BALANCE OF PAYMENT IN BHUTAN
In Bhutan BOP is always remaining negative / unfavourable. The export of goods and services are less than import of goods and services. Therefore, it leads to disequilibrium in BOP.

CAUSES OF ADVERSE / DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BALANCE OF PAYMENT IN BHUTAN

1.      Development Activities of the Government
For developmental activities, Government of Bhutan is importing raw materials, machines, tools, modern technologies etc. from other countries. Thus, the value of imports exceeded the value of exports, making balance of payment unfavourable.

2.      Import of Services
Bhutan is forced to import services and capital from other countries to work in different sectors because in Bhutan the numbers of trained and skilled people are very less. Consequently, our country had to pay huge amount of money as interest, salaries, and profits for these services which in turn, led to the disequilibrium in the balance of payment.

3.      Fall in Demand
This may be due to changes in tastes and fashions of the consumers or because of rising cost of production, natural factors and foreign competition. As a result, exports decrease making the balance of payment unfavorable.

4.      Natural Factors
Bhutan’s export is dominated by agricultural products, and these products are influenced by natural factors like flood, drought, pest, etc. This lowers our exports and hence, balance of payment becomes unfavourable.

5.      Demonstration Effect
As many people of our country try to imitate the consumption pattern, particularly with regard to luxuries like cars, air-conditioners, etc., of the developed countries. This will lead to large increase in imports, causing disequilibrium in our balance of payment.

6.      Inflationary Pressure
A high rate of inflation at home encourages imports by making these relatively cheaper. It also leads to decrease in country’s exports. Thus, balance of payments becomes unfavorable.

7.      Population Growth
A rapid increase in population has increased demand for all types of consumer goods leading to a fall in export earnings.


REMEDIAL MEASURES TO CORRECT DISEQUILIBRIUM IN BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

1.      Deflation
By deflation we can increase the demand of commodities in domestic and foreign market because deflation leads to decrease in the price of the commodities. If demand increases in the foreign market, it is useful to achieve favourable balance of payment.

2.      Depreciation
Depreciation implies the automatic fall in the value of home currency against the foreign currencies. For instance, if Ngultrum depreciates it means that Bhutanese pay more Ngultrum for a dollar. Depreciation will make imports costlier in terms of the domestic currency. As a result, imports fall.

3.      Devaluation
It refers to the increase in the value of foreign currency or fall in the value of domestic currency. If the country devaluate its currency, domestic consumer has to pay higher price on imported goods. So similar to depreciation, devaluation also makes imports costlier leading to decrease in imports.

4.      Discouraging Imports and Encouraging Exports
A country can discourage imports levying duties, tariffs and by fixing imports quotas. Similarly, Government can encourage exports by reducing duties, giving subsidies and financial assistances in order to get favorable balance of payment. 

5.      External Debt
Government can also correct its balance of payment position by securing loans from abroad or international financial organization.

6.      Tariff
If Government impose higher tariff on importing commodities, it leads to increase in the price of commodities, and thereby decrease in import.

7.      Tourism
It is an important method to earn foreign currency. Our country is very keen on promoting eco-tourism based on the principle of “Low Volume, High Value”.



Notes on Trade

CHAPTER 17
INTERNATIONAL TRADE

WHAT IS TRADE?
It refers to the exchange of goods and services among the people, region and countries, often for exchange of money.

NEEDS / REASONS FOR TRADE
1.      To exchange the desired goods and services.
2.      To earn foreign exchange.
3.      To maintain and promote international cooperation/relations.
4.      For transferring various modern technologies.
5.      Specializing in the production of certain commodities.

TYPES OF TRADE
1.      Internal/Domestic Trade – The exchange of goods and services between individuals within the geographical boundary of a country.

2.      External/International Trade – The exchange of goods and services among the citizens of the different countries.

DIFFERENCES BETWEEN DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL TRADE

Aspects / Areas
Internal Trade
External Trade
Political Boundary
Exchange of goods and services within the domestic territory of a country.
Exchange of goods and services outside the country
Nationals
People involved for trade are the citizens of the same country.
People involved for trade are the citizens of different countries.
Difference in Currency
Local Currency is used for all the transactions of goods and services.
Foreign Currencies are used for trade purposes.
Mobility of Resources
Factors of production are completely mobile.
Factors of production are completely immobile. 
Restriction on Export & Import
There are no restrictions on the flow of trade between two regions of the same country.
There are restrictions on trade between two or more countries.

ADVANTAGES / MERITS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE

1.      Varieties of Goods
Through international trade a country can be available with varieties of goods and services. This can bring an improvement in the quality of life and living standard of the people.

2.      Competition
International trade also promotes competition among countries in the international market for their existence. As a result there is an innovation of products in the market and it reduces the monopolistic exploitation of consumers.

3.      Specialization
Every country is able to focus in the production of the commodity of its greatest advantage (commodity that can be produced at the cheaper cost). 

4.      Cheaper Goods
Due to heavy competition and greater division of labour and specialization, goods will be cheaper in the international market.

5.      International Cooperation
Through international trade, side-by-side, countries are also able to maintain and strengthen the relations and come closer to each other.


DISADVANTAGES / DEMERITS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE
1.      Economic Instability
International trade is the source of economic instability. Through international trade there is always the possibility of situations of booms and depressions present in one country being transmitted to other countries.

2.      Exploitation
There is always the possibility of advanced nations exploiting the underdeveloped countries as by charging high prices for their commodities.

3.      Dislodging of Domestic Industries
The import of cheaper goods from outside may affect the domestic industries producing similar goods. It may lead in dislocation and unemployment of resources.

4.      Unemployment
Under foreign trade, when a country tends to specialize in a few products, job opportunities available to people are curtailed leading to more unemployment problems.

5.      Dumping of old Technology
Through international trade, with the exchange of goods and services simultaneously there is also transmission of varieties of technological applications. Therefore, there is a chance of dumping old technology, especially in the underdeveloped and developing countries.

ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF INTERNAL TRADE
Advantages
Disadvantages
1.      High Demand for domestic commodities.
2.      Employment opportunities.
3.      Preservation of culture and tradition.
4.      No political interference.

1.      Slow pace of Development.
2.      Difficult to face Natural Calamities.
3.      Choice of Commodities will decrease.
4.      Exploitation of Consumer.


What is a Trade Union?
An organization of workers or employees formed mainly to negotiate with the employers on various employments related issues, improvement of terms and conditions of their workplace and enhance their status in the society.

What is Free Trade?
It is the unrestricted sale and purchase goods and services between the nations.
  
BASIS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE - How does Trade take place?
There are TWO theories propounded to prove the basis of international trade:
1.      The Absolute Cost Theory
2.      The Comparative Cost Theory

THE ABSOLUTE COST THEORY
According to Adam Smith, the basis of international trade is the difference in absolute cost of production of commodities in different countries. The theory states that “a country will specialize and export those commodities which it can produce at a lower cost compared to other countries”. Thus, absolute cost differences arise when each of the two countries can produce some commodities at an absolutely lower cost than the other. This theory can be illustrated through a simple example as given below:

Production
Cost of Production (in US Dollar)
Bhutan
Japan
Mushroom
1,500
2,000
Apples
2,000
1,000


The above table shows that Bhutan has an absolute advantage in the production of mushroom because cost of production is only 1,500 US $ and Japan has an absolute advantage in the production of apples (production cost is only 1,000 US $). Thus, Bhutan and Japan will specialize in the production of mushroom and apple respectively. Therefore, trade will take place by exchanging of the two goods, i.e, Bhutan exporting mushrooms and Japan exporting apples. It is called international trade due to absolute cost advantage.

THE COMPARATIVE COST THEORY
According to David Ricardo, international trade can still take place if one country possesses absolute advantage in the production of both the commodities, by considering their relative costs differences. So, his theory is called comparative cost theory. The theory states that “a country will specialize in the production of those goods which have lower comparative cost or goods which have greater comparative advantage”.

This theory can be explained using the concept of both opportunity cost and Production Possibility Curve (PPC) with the following example; suppose Bhutan and Japan are producing goods (say mushroom and apples). There are THREE stages through which trade will take place as per the comparative advantage theory. (Opportunity Cost Concept)

1.      Before Specialization
Production in KGs
Bhutan
Japan
Mushroom
12,000
4,000
Apples
8,000
6,000

Before specialization Bhutan is comparatively better in the production of both the commodities                  (mushroom and apples). But still Bhutan can specialize in the production of one commodity and Japan in the production of other commodity. However, Bhutan would not produce both the commodities but it would specialize in the production of one commodity (mushroom) which gives more advantage.

2.      Specialization
Production in KGs
Bhutan
Japan
Mushroom
24,000
0
Apples
0
12,000


During Specialization Bhutan would concentrate in the production of mushroom only (i.e 24,000) by using resources from apples. Similarly, Japan would produce more apples (12,000) by using resources from mushrooms as shown in the table.

3.      After Specialization
After specialization Bhutan would export mushroom to Japan and Japan would export apples to Bhutan. This theory is further elaborated by using Production Possibility Curve (PPC). PPC shows the combinations of two goods which can be produced with a given amount of resources.